This op-ed by WWF Global Arctic Programme director Alexander Shestakov was originally published in the Arctic Journal.
There is no doubt that the United States government has lit a fire under efforts to more meaningfully address climate change, both inside and outside the Arctic. This week’s meeting in Alaska is a further example; President Barack Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry are inviting ministers from around the Arctic and beyond to the Arctic to ensure they can see first-hand the reality of climate change impacts throughout the region.
Undermined by thawing permafrost, lashed by waves that are not calmed by a covering of sea ice and buffeted by increasing numbers of storms, whole villages in Alaska are sliding into the sea. People who live in those villages and others are also coping with the stress of the loss of traditional food sources. According to media reports, some villages are reporting drops of up to 90% over the past three years in the harvest of marine mammals that provide them with food.
WWF is hoping that the ministers’ personal interactions with the changing Arctic will move some of world’s biggest emitters to take the actions necessary at the coming Paris climate meeting. These leaders know the eyes of the world are on them, and they know this is a critical time for global climate action.
Doing so will require global emissions to peak well within this decade, and rapidly decline thereafter. By 2050, carbon-based fossil fuels must be effectively gone from the global energy equation. The challenge facing global leaders is not just to accomplish those goals, but to do so in a fair and equitable fashion, so that the poorest and most vulnerable people in the world are not unfairly burdened with the costs of change, or the impacts of change.
While the US government has taken significant steps to reduce emissions and prepare communities for the impacts of climate change, the ‘walrus in the room’ is its continued approval of drilling for oil in parts of the Alaskan offshore. The US has rightly set aside some of the most ecologically and economically important areas from oil and gas exploration, including certain areas of the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas and Bristol Bay, America’s fish-basket.
However, its decision to allow Royal Dutch Shell to drill offshore in the Chukchi Sea is simply too great a risk to Arctic waters and the communities they support. Even if we leave aside the irony of allowing a highly carbon-intensive search in the Arctic for yet more carbon to drive Arctic climate change, there is the matter of the potentially devastating local impacts. The government’s own risk assessment concludes that there is a 75% chance of a major spill during the lifetime of the lease.
If a spill occurs in icy Arctic waters, there is a no proven effective method of cleaning it up. We lack the demonstrated ability to respond to and effectively contain or clean up major oil spills in the Arctic, and we lack a strong scientific understanding of key species and the ecosystem as a whole. A very few parts of the Arctic have been placed off limits to drilling, but this has not been done in the context of what areas it is necessary to protect as part of a circumpolar network of marine protected areas.
The Arctic is a special place with unique ecological and cultural values which are put at serious risk by the expanding industrialisation in the offshore environment. Until or unless a risk assessment can show there is virtually no risk to this environment, and that the places essential for Arctic life are protected, is it worth the risk, especially in the context of an urgent need to transition towards a 100% renewable future? WWF does not think so, and our hope is that the ministers assembled this week agree.
This coming Thursday, December 12, WWF’s Arctic Programme will host a panel at COP25, exploring how to bring young scientists and Indigenous youth to the decision-making table in the Arctic.
Arctic Foreign Ministers meeting today did not release a Declaration because they could not agree to collective action on climate change.